Charles Booker · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Booker is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Booker at 4.1¢ against Barr's 96.2¢, down 1¢ since July 31. The polling average has Barr ahead by 12 points, and Barr leads 9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Booker · Democratic contract

4.1¢

▼ 1.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Charles Booker by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 8¢ · low 3.8¢Oct 12

Charles BookerDemocratic

4.1¢

Andy BarrRepublican

96.2¢

189,316 traded · 90,526 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Booker v Barr

Metric by metric

Booker

Barr

4.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.2¢

$1.10M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$9.98M

$309.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.31M

40%

Latest pollGSG, Sponsor unconfirmed (released by the Booker campaign) · Aug 27

49%

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

Kentucky U.S. Senate

Polling average

R+12

Average of 2 pollsters, December 19 to August 27.

Prior result

R+19.5

2020 general election, won by Mitch McConnell.

Fundraising

9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.