Brenton Awa · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Awa is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Awa at 5.2¢ against Tokuda's 97.2¢, down 0.9¢ since August 3. Tokuda leads 6.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Awa · Republican contract

5.2¢

▼ 0.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Brenton Awa by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 1.7¢Oct 12

Brenton AwaRepublican

5.2¢

Jill N. TokudaDemocratic · incumbent

97.2¢

30,746 traded · 26,249 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Awa v Tokuda

Metric by metric

Awa

Tokuda

5.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.2¢

$122.6K

RaisedFEC, through July 19

$820.7K

$16.1K

Cash on handFEC, through July 19

$570.4K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Hawaii 2nd District

Prior result

D+36.3

2024 general election, won by Jill N. Tokuda.

Fundraising

6.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 19.