Elections Intelligence

Brandon Wade

OK-2U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Wade is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Wade at 1.9¢ against Brecheen's 99¢, down 2.1¢ since August 3. Brecheen leads 51 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Wade · Democratic contract
1.9¢
▼ 2.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Brandon Wade by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.2¢ · low 1.9¢Oct 12
Brandon WadeDemocratic
1.9¢
Josh BrecheenRepublican · incumbent
99.0¢

2,331 traded · 1,873 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Wade v Brecheen

Metric by metric
Wade
Brecheen
1.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
99.0¢
$4.3K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$218.9K
$86
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$76.1K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Oklahoma 2nd District
Prior result
R+52.7

2024 general election, won by Josh Brecheen.

Fundraising
51 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.