Brad Little
IDWhat the Signal reads
Safe R
Little is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Little at 98.3¢ against Pickens's 2.5¢, up 2.2¢ since July 31. The polling average has Little ahead by 14.3 points, and Little leads 9.8 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Little · Republican contract
98.3¢
▲ 2.2¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Brad Little by name.
8,483 traded · 5,263 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Little v Pickens
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Idaho GovernorPolling average
R+14.3
Average of 2 pollsters, July 30 to September 16.
Prior result
R+40.2
2022 general election, won by Brad Little.
Fundraising
9.8 to 1
Raised, through September 30.