Elections Intelligence

Ben McAdams

UT-1U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

McAdams is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has McAdams at 99¢ against Owen's 2.3¢, up 5.5¢ since August 3. The polling average has McAdams ahead by 41.5 points, and McAdams leads 17 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
McAdams · Democratic contract
99.0¢
▲ 5.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ben McAdams by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 93.5¢Oct 12
Ben McAdamsDemocratic
99.0¢
Riley OwenRepublican
2.3¢

12,137 traded · 4,079 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McAdams v Owen

Metric by metric
McAdams
Owen
99.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.3¢
$2.26M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$132.5K
$299.3K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$9.6K
62.7%
Latest pollLighthoust Research · Sep 10
21.2%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Utah 1st District
Latest poll
D+41.5

Lighthoust Research, September 10.

Prior result
R+31.1

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Blake D. Moore.

Fundraising
17 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.