Elections Intelligence

Becky Stille

NE-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Stille is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Stille at 2¢ against Smith's 99.3¢, down 1.1¢ since August 3. Smith leads 32.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Stille · Democratic contract
2.0¢
▼ 1.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Becky Stille by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.9¢ · low 2¢Oct 12
Becky StilleDemocratic
2.0¢
Adrian SmithRepublican · incumbent
99.3¢

3,055 traded · 2,343 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Stille v Smith

Metric by metric
Stille
Smith
2.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
99.3¢
$55.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.78M
$14.8K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.02M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2007

The 2026 race

Nebraska 3rd District
Prior result
R+60.8

2024 general election, won by Adrian Smith.

Fundraising
32.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.