Barb Regnitz · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Regnitz is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Regnitz at 4.3¢ against Mrvan's 98.5¢, down 10.7¢ since August 3. The two campaigns have raised about the same.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Regnitz · Republican contract

4.3¢

▼ 10.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Barb Regnitz by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 15¢ · low 1.9¢Oct 12

Barb RegnitzRepublican

4.3¢

Frank J. MrvanDemocratic · incumbent

98.5¢

30,752 traded · 11,571 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Regnitz v Mrvan

Metric by metric

Regnitz

Mrvan

4.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.5¢

$2.38M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.39M

$1.80M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.34M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Indiana 1st District

Prior result

D+8.5

2024 general election, won by Frank J. Mrvan.

Fundraising

1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.