Ashley Bell · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Bell is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Bell at 6.3¢ against Harrigan's 96.7¢, down 2¢ since August 3. Harrigan leads 12.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bell · Democratic contract

6.3¢

▼ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ashley Bell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 6.2¢Oct 12

Ashley BellDemocratic

6.3¢

Pat HarriganRepublican · incumbent

96.7¢

3,873 traded · 2,855 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bell v Harrigan

Metric by metric

Bell

Harrigan

6.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.7¢

$84.0K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.08M

$26.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$451.3K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

North Carolina 10th District

Prior result

R+19.3

2024 general election, won by Pat Harrigan.

Fundraising

12.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.