Armen Kurdian · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Kurdian is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Kurdian at 3.6¢ against Levin's 97.7¢, up 2.2¢ since August 3. Levin leads 53.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Kurdian · Republican contract

3.6¢

▲ 2.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Armen Kurdian by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.3¢ · low 1.4¢Oct 12

Armen KurdianRepublican

3.6¢

Mike LevinDemocratic · incumbent

97.7¢

14,870 traded · 8,965 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kurdian v Levin

Metric by metric

Kurdian

Levin

3.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.7¢

$58.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$3.16M

$17.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.42M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

California 49th District

Prior result

D+4.3

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Mike Levin.

Fundraising

53.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.