Adriel Lam · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Lam is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Lam at 3.9¢ against Case's 98.9¢, up 0.9¢ since August 3.

Lam · Republican contract

3.9¢

▲ 0.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Adriel Lam by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4.5¢ · low 2.3¢Oct 12

Adriel LamRepublican

3.9¢

Ed CaseDemocratic · incumbent

98.9¢

118 traded · 98 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Metric by metric

Lam

Case

3.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.9¢

No total for Adriel Lam: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through July 19

$1.09M

—

Cash on handFEC, through July 19

$599.6K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Hawaii 1st District

Prior result

D+43.7

2024 general election, won by Ed Case.