Elections Intelligence

Adam Hamawy

NJ-12U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Hamawy is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hamawy at 96.2¢ against Mele's 3.3¢, up 0.2¢ since August 3. Hamawy leads 19.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hamawy · Democratic contract
96.2¢
▲ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Adam Hamawy by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.2¢ · low 95.9¢Oct 12
Adam HamawyDemocratic
96.2¢
Gregg MeleRepublican
3.3¢

11,213 traded · 3,766 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hamawy v Mele

Metric by metric
Hamawy
Mele
96.2¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.3¢
$1.53M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$79.4K
$91.9K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$3.1K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 12th District
Prior result
D+22.5

2024 general election, won by Bonnie Watson Coleman.

Fundraising
19.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.