Adam Bauman · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Bauman is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Bauman at 3.7¢ against Escobar's 98.3¢, down 0.3¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bauman · Republican contract

3.7¢

▼ 0.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Adam Bauman by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.4¢ · low 2¢Oct 12

Adam BaumanRepublican

3.7¢

Veronica EscobarDemocratic · incumbent

98.3¢

646 traded · 524 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bauman v Escobar

Metric by metric

Bauman

Escobar

3.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.3¢

No total for Adam Bauman: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$858.8K

—

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$270.5K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Texas 16th District

Prior result

D+19.1

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Veronica Escobar.