Aaron Guckian
RIWhat the Signal reads
Safe D
Guckian is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Guckian at 2.7¢ against Foulkes's 97¢, down 2.3¢ since July 31. The polling average has Foulkes ahead by 22.3 points, and Foulkes leads 89.7 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Guckian · Republican contract
2.7¢
▼ 2.3¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Aaron Guckian by name.
29,093 traded · 18,567 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Guckian v Foulkes
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Rhode Island GovernorPolling average
D+22.3
Average of 2 pollsters, April 16 to August 24.
Prior result
D+19.1
2022 general election, won by Dan McKee.
Fundraising
89.7 to 1
Raised, through August 11.