Elections Intelligence

Tony Wied

WI-8U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Wied is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Wied at 89¢ against Crosson's 13¢, up 4¢ since August 3. Wied leads 16.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Wied · Republican contract
89.0¢
▲ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tony Wied by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 93.7¢ · low 85¢Oct 12
Tony WiedRepublican · incumbent
89.0¢
Rick CrossonDemocratic
13.0¢

21,085 traded · 6,516 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Wied v Crosson

Metric by metric
Wied
Crosson
89.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
13.0¢
$1.09M
RaisedFEC, through July 22
$66.9K
$515.6K
Cash on handFEC, through July 22
$24.4K
U.S. Representativesince 2024
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Wisconsin 8th District
Prior result
R+14.7

2024 general election, won by Tony Wied.

Fundraising
16.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.