Bruce Westerman · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Westerman is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Westerman at 99.5¢ against Russell's 3.3¢, up 5.6¢ since August 3. Westerman leads 437.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Westerman · Republican contract

99.5¢

▲ 5.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Bruce Westerman by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.7¢ · low 93.9¢Oct 12

Bruce WestermanRepublican · incumbent

99.5¢

James “Rus” Russell IIIDemocratic

3.3¢

4,862 traded · 3,420 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Westerman v Russell

Metric by metric

Westerman

Russell

99.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.3¢

$2.56M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$5.9K

$4.67M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$907

U.S. Representativesince 2015

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Arkansas 4th District

Prior result

R+45.8

2024 general election, won by Bruce Westerman.

Fundraising

437.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.