Elections Intelligence

Eugene Simon Vindman

VA-7U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Vindman is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Vindman at 94.6¢ against Ollivant's 6.3¢, down 0.9¢ since August 3. Vindman leads 49.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Vindman · Democratic contract
94.6¢
▼ 0.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Eugene Simon Vindman by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.5¢ · low 91.9¢Oct 12
Eugene Simon VindmanDemocratic · incumbent
94.6¢
Doug A. OllivantRepublican
6.3¢

27,519 traded · 18,342 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Vindman v Ollivant

Metric by metric
Vindman
Ollivant
94.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
6.3¢
$12.36M
RaisedFEC, through July 15
$251.1K
$6.57M
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
$65.8K
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Virginia 7th District
Prior result
D+2.6

2024 general election, won by Eugene Simon Vindman.

Fundraising
49.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.