Lauren Underwood · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Underwood is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Underwood at 98.8¢ against Marter's 3.6¢, up 4.5¢ since August 3. Underwood leads 17.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Underwood · Democratic contract

98.8¢

▲ 4.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Lauren Underwood by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 94.3¢Oct 12

Lauren UnderwoodDemocratic · incumbent

98.8¢

James MarterRepublican

3.6¢

3,293 traded · 2,659 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Underwood v Marter

Metric by metric

Underwood

Marter

98.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.6¢

$2.42M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$140.8K

$1.11M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$31.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 14th District

Prior result

D+10.2

2024 general election, won by Lauren Underwood.

Fundraising

17.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.