David J. Taylor · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Taylor is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Taylor at 97¢ against Mazzuckelli's 4.1¢, up 5.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Taylor · Republican contract

97.0¢

▲ 5.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on David J. Taylor by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97¢ · low 91.5¢Oct 12

David J. TaylorRepublican · incumbent

97.0¢

Jennifer MazzuckelliDemocratic

4.1¢

7,536 traded · 4,743 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Taylor v Mazzuckelli

Metric by metric

Taylor

Mazzuckelli

97.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.1¢

$1.10M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Jennifer Mazzuckelli: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$443.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Ohio 2nd District

Prior result

R+47.1

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by David J. Taylor.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+47.6 → R+42.2

Ohio had to redraw its map before 2026. The bipartisan Ohio Redistricting Commission voted unanimously for a new plan on Oct. 31, 2025, and it stays in place until the next census. It becomes somewhat less Republican, going from Trump +47.6 to Trump +42.2 in the 2024 presidential vote.

The record this is read from ↗