Elections Intelligence

Ritchie Torres

NY-15U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Torres is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Torres at 98.9¢ against Sapaskis's 3.1¢, up 2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Torres · Democratic contract
98.9¢
▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ritchie Torres by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99¢ · low 96.9¢Oct 12
Ritchie TorresDemocratic · incumbent
98.9¢
Stylo SapaskisRepublican
3.1¢
Gonzalo Duranother
no contract on this candidate in the market

1,973 traded · 1,674 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Torres v Sapaskis

Metric by metric
Torres
Sapaskis
98.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.1¢
$6.91M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No filing on file for Stylo Sapaskis with the Federal Election Commission.
$13.99M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
U.S. Representativesince 2021
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 15th District
Prior result
D+55.2

2024 general election, won by Ritchie Torres.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.