Rashida Tlaib · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Tlaib is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Tlaib at 99.7¢ against Hooper's 1.8¢, up 1.7¢ since August 3. Tlaib leads 3556.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Tlaib · Democratic contract

99.7¢

▲ 1.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Rashida Tlaib by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 98¢Oct 12

Rashida TlaibDemocratic · incumbent

99.7¢

James D. HooperRepublican

1.8¢

1,203 traded · 1,189 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Tlaib v Hooper

Metric by metric

Tlaib

Hooper

99.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

1.8¢

$2.76M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$775

$3.43M

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$8.4K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 12th District

Prior result

D+42.9

2024 general election, won by Rashida Tlaib.

Fundraising

3556.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.