Norma J. Torres · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Torres is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Torres at 99.5¢ against Cargile's 2.1¢, up 2¢ since August 3. Torres leads 161.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Torres · Democratic contract

99.5¢

▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Norma J. Torres by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 96¢Oct 12

Norma J. TorresDemocratic · incumbent

99.5¢

Mike CargileRepublican

2.1¢

879 traded · 876 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Torres v Cargile

Metric by metric

Torres

Cargile

99.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.1¢

$769.1K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.8K

$339.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2015

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

California 35th District

Prior result

D+16.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Norma J. Torres.

Fundraising

161.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+10.3 → D+7.8

California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. Its partisan lean barely changes (Harris +10.3 to Harris +7.8 in the 2024 presidential vote).

The record this is read from ↗