PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW YORK

Paul Tonko

Democratic · U.S. Representative, New York 20th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03

INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D KALSHI · 99.8¢ · CHECKED Aug 27

THE 2026 RACE · NEW YORK 20TH DISTRICTFull race page →

OPPONENTRalph F. Ambrosio (R)Challenger

FTP RACE SIGNALSafe DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating

KALSHI · Aug 27D 99.8¢ · R 8.5¢

LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race

STANDING · THIS SEAT

+22.242024 general election margin — verified against official results

33:1fundraising ratio v Ambrosio · FEC period 06-30

CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30

$957.6Kraised

$404.3Kcash on hand

· Ambrosio: $29.0K / $8.1K CoH

BALLOT & DATES

Primary06-23 · HELD

GeneralNov 3, 2026

D settled · R settled