Elections Intelligence

Glenn Thompson

PA-15U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Thompson is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Thompson at 97.2¢ against Bilger's 3.8¢, up 4.7¢ since August 3. Thompson leads 13.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Thompson · Republican contract
97.2¢
▲ 4.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Glenn Thompson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.6¢ · low 92.5¢Oct 12
Glenn ThompsonRepublican · incumbent
97.2¢
Ray BilgerDemocratic
3.8¢

9,965 traded · 9,343 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Thompson v Bilger

Metric by metric
Thompson
Bilger
97.2¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.8¢
$1.85M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$139.5K
$829.8K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$87.3K
U.S. Representativesince 2009
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 15th District
Prior result
R+43.0

2024 general election, won by Glenn Thompson.

Fundraising
13.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.