Elections Intelligence

Hillary J. Scholten

MI-3U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Scholten is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Scholten at 94.3¢ against DeBoer's 5.5¢, up 3.6¢ since August 3. Scholten leads 4.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Scholten · Democratic contract
94.3¢
▲ 3.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Hillary J. Scholten by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 90.7¢Oct 12
Hillary J. ScholtenDemocratic · incumbent
94.3¢
Terri DeBoerRepublican
5.5¢

9,007 traded · 5,361 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Scholten v DeBoer

Metric by metric
Scholten
DeBoer
94.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
5.5¢
$2.33M
RaisedFEC, through July 15
$551.7K
$1.36M
Cash on handFEC, through July 15
$361.4K
U.S. Representativesince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 3rd District
Prior result
D+8.9

2024 general election, won by Hillary J. Scholten.

Fundraising
4.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.