Kim Schrier · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Schrier is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Schrier at 99.6¢ against Meline's 6.8¢, up 6.3¢ since August 3. Schrier leads 23.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Schrier · Democratic contract

99.6¢

▲ 6.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kim Schrier by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 93.3¢Oct 12

Kim SchrierDemocratic · incumbent

99.6¢

Spencer MelineRepublican

6.8¢

5,512 traded · 2,593 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Schrier v Meline

Metric by metric

Schrier

Meline

99.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

6.8¢

$3.02M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$126.5K

$3.51M

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$89.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Washington 8th District

Prior result

D+8.2

2024 general election, won by Kim Schrier.

Fundraising

23.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.