Jason Smith · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Smith is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Smith at 98.9¢ against Reichard's 2.2¢, up 0.9¢ since August 3. Smith leads 927.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Smith · Republican contract

98.9¢

▲ 0.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jason Smith by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 98¢Oct 12

Jason SmithRepublican · incumbent

98.9¢

Chris ReichardDemocratic

2.2¢

366 traded · 359 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Smith v Reichard

Metric by metric

Smith

Reichard

98.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.2¢

$5.26M

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$5.7K

$5.01M

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$1.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2013

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Missouri 8th District

Prior result

R+54.4

2024 general election, won by Jason Smith.

Fundraising

927.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.