Brad Sherman
CA-32What the Signal reads
Sherman is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Sherman at 98.9¢ against Thompson's 3.5¢, up 3.1¢ since August 3. Sherman leads 73.2 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Brad Sherman by name.
2,301 traded · 1,971 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Sherman v Thompson
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 32nd District2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Brad Sherman.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+31.3 → D+25.0
California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. It becomes somewhat less Democratic, going from Harris +31.3 to Harris +25 in the 2024 presidential vote.