Robert C. "Bobby" Scott · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Scott is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Scott at 99.1¢ against Rivera's 3.4¢, up 4¢ since August 3. Scott leads 104.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Scott · Democratic contract

99.1¢

▲ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Robert C. "Bobby" Scott by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 95.1¢Oct 12

Robert C. "Bobby" ScottDemocratic · incumbent

99.1¢

Edwin Rivera, Jr.Republican

3.4¢

986 traded · 749 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Scott v Rivera

Metric by metric

Scott

Rivera

99.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.4¢

$688.2K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$6.6K

$191.8K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$1.8K

U.S. Representativesince 1993

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Virginia 3rd District

Prior result

D+40.1

2024 general election, won by Robert C. "Bobby" Scott.

Fundraising

104.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.