Elections Intelligence

Michael A. Rulli

OH-6U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Rulli is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Rulli at 98¢ against Kirtley's 3.7¢, up 5.5¢ since August 3. Rulli leads 983 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Rulli · Republican contract
98.0¢
▲ 5.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Michael A. Rulli by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 92.5¢Oct 12
Michael A. RulliRepublican · incumbent
98.0¢
Elizabeth KirtleyDemocratic
3.7¢

10,082 traded · 3,363 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Rulli v Kirtley

Metric by metric
Rulli
Kirtley
98.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
3.7¢
$1.11M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.1K
$269.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.1K
U.S. Representativesince 2024
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Ohio 6th District
Prior result
R+33.5

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Michael A. Rulli.

Fundraising
983 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+33.7 → R+34.6

Ohio had to redraw its map before 2026. The bipartisan Ohio Redistricting Commission voted unanimously for a new plan on Oct. 31, 2025, and it stays in place until the next census. Its partisan lean barely changes (Trump +33.7 to Trump +34.6 in the 2024 presidential vote).

The record this is read from ↗

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.