Elections Intelligence

Mike Rogers

AL-3U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Rogers is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Rogers at 99.2¢ against McInnis's 2.2¢, up 3.6¢ since August 3. Rogers leads 35 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Rogers · Republican contract
99.2¢
▲ 3.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mike Rogers by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 95.6¢Oct 12
Mike RogersRepublican · incumbent
99.2¢
Lee McInnisDemocratic
2.2¢

15,236 traded · 4,933 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Rogers v McInnis

Metric by metric
Rogers
McInnis
99.2¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.2¢
$2.13M
RaisedFEC, through June 30 and September 30
$60.8K
$2.59M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and September 30
$9.5K
U.S. Representativesince 2003
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Alabama 3rd District
Prior result
R+100.0

2024 general election, won by Mike Rogers.

Fundraising
35 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through September 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.