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Harold Rogers

U.S. House H architectural icon OfficeHouse Republican Strong favorite
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE R KALSHI · 98.7¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON ROGERS
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Safe R

Harold Rogers is the sitting U.S. Representative for Kentucky's 5th district and is defending it, a seat the band rates Safe R. The market prices their contract at 98.7¢ against Pillersdorf's 3.8¢, up 1.0¢ across 25 observation days; and they have raised 4.7 dollars for every one of Pillersdorf's.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Harold Rogers · Republican · KXHOUSERACE-KY05-26-R

98.7¢

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Harold Rogers by name.

▲ 1.0¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 99.4¢ · low 97.7¢2026-09-21
Harold Rogers Republican · incumbent
98.7¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Ned Pillersdorf Democratic
3.8¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 1,488 traded · 517 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

ROGERS AGAINST PILLERSDORF · METRIC BY METRIC
Rogers
Pillersdorf
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

98.7¢

3.8¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through June 30, 2026

$850K

4.7:1 against Ned Pillersdorf

$182K

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

U.S. Representative

Kentucky's 5th district · since 2025 · defending it

Holds no office

Challenger

THE 2026 RACE · KENTUCKY 5TH DISTRICT
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
PRIOR MARGIN+1002024 general election · verified against official results
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+1002024 general election margin — verified against official results
4.7:1fundraising ratio v Pillersdorf · FEC period 06-30
FUNDRAISING
$849.8Kraised
$874.7Kcash on hand
through June 30, 2026 · checked Aug 31
· Pillersdorf: $182.3K / $91.3K CoH
COMPARE V PILLERSDORF ⇄