Mike Quigley · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Quigley is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Quigley at 98¢ against Hanson's 3.5¢, up 1¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Quigley · Democratic contract

98.0¢

▲ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Mike Quigley by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 97¢Oct 12

Mike QuigleyDemocratic · incumbent

98.0¢

Tommy HansonRepublican

3.5¢

1,173 traded · 907 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Quigley v Hanson

Metric by metric

Quigley

Hanson

98.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.5¢

$725.7K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Tommy Hanson: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$1.19M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2009

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 5th District

Prior result

D+38.0

2024 general election, won by Mike Quigley.