Jimmy Patronis · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Patronis is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Patronis at 96.9¢ against Valimont's 2.7¢, up 4.6¢ since August 3. Patronis leads 21.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Patronis · Republican contract

96.9¢

▲ 4.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jimmy Patronis by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 92.3¢Oct 12

Jimmy PatronisRepublican · incumbent

96.9¢

Gay ValimontDemocratic

2.7¢

5,113 traded · 2,774 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Patronis v Valimont

Metric by metric

Patronis

Valimont

96.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.7¢

$3.79M

RaisedFEC, through July 29

$174.3K

$935.3K

Cash on handFEC, through July 29

$21.8K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Florida 1st District

Prior result

R+32.1

2024 general election, won by Matt Gaetz.

Fundraising

21.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.