Jimmy Panetta · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Panetta is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Panetta at 98.1¢ against Verbica's 3.3¢, up 0.8¢ since August 3. Panetta leads 37.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Panetta · Democratic contract

98.1¢

▲ 0.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Jimmy Panetta by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.3¢Oct 12

Jimmy PanettaDemocratic · incumbent

98.1¢

Peter Coe VerbicaRepublican

3.3¢

5,917 traded · 3,236 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Panetta v Verbica

Metric by metric

Panetta

Verbica

98.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.3¢

$2.89M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$76.3K

$5.11M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$24.7K

U.S. Representativesince 2017

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

California 19th District

Prior result

D+38.6

2024 general election, won by Jimmy Panetta.

Fundraising

37.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.