Scott H. Peters · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Peters is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Peters at 97.5¢ against Cohen's 3.5¢, up 2.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Peters · Democratic contract

97.5¢

▲ 2.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Scott H. Peters by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.6¢ · low 95¢Oct 12

Scott H. PetersDemocratic · incumbent

97.5¢

Steve CohenRepublican

3.5¢

2,734 traded · 779 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Peters v Cohen

Metric by metric

Peters

Cohen

97.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.5¢

$1.81M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Steve Cohen: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$2.60M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2013

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

California 50th District

Prior result

D+28.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Scott H. Peters.

THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWND+29.6 → D+18.3

California voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, which replaced the commission-drawn map with one drawn by the Legislature for the 2026, 2028 and 2030 elections. It becomes much less Democratic, going from Harris +29.6 to Harris +18.3 in the 2024 presidential vote.

The record this is read from ↗