Elections Intelligence

Mark Pocan

WI-2U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Pocan is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Pocan at 99.6¢, up 4.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pocan · Democratic contract
99.6¢
▲ 4.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Mark Pocan by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 95.1¢Oct 12
Mark PocanDemocratic · incumbent
99.6¢
Republican lineNo candidate is named on this contract.
1.8¢

1,628 traded · 1,216 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

The 2026 race

Wisconsin 2nd District
Prior result
D+40.2

2024 general election, won by Mark Pocan.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.