Chellie Pingree · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Pingree is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Pingree at 97.8¢ against Russell's 3.3¢, up 1.8¢ since August 3. The polling average has Pingree ahead by 22 points, and Pingree leads 5.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Pingree · Democratic contract

97.8¢

▲ 1.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Chellie Pingree by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 96¢Oct 12

Chellie PingreeDemocratic · incumbent

97.8¢

Ronald C. RussellRepublican

3.3¢

4,224 traded · 2,307 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pingree v Russell

Metric by metric

Pingree

Russell

97.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.3¢

$429.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$75.7K

$423.1K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$20.0K

57%

Latest pollUNH · Sep 21

35%

U.S. Representativesince 2009

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Maine 1st District

Latest poll

D+22

UNH, September 21.

Prior result

D+22.3

2024 general election, won by Chellie Pingree.

Fundraising

5.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.