Elections Intelligence

Frank Pallone, Jr.

NJ-6U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Pallone is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Pallone at 98.9¢ against Herzig's 4¢, up 2.4¢ since August 3. Pallone leads 289.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pallone · Democratic contract
98.9¢
▲ 2.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Frank Pallone, Jr. by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 96¢Oct 12
Frank Pallone, Jr.Democratic · incumbent
98.9¢
Hillary HerzigRepublican
4.0¢

1,070 traded · 208 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pallone v Herzig

Metric by metric
Pallone
Herzig
98.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.0¢
$2.21M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$7.6K
$3.07M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.9K
U.S. Representativesince 1987
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 6th District
Prior result
D+12.8

2024 general election, won by Frank Pallone, Jr..

Fundraising
289.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.