Robert F. Onder, Jr. · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Onder is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Onder at 97.9¢ against Mann's 4.6¢, up 3.5¢ since August 3. Onder leads 21.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Onder · Republican contract

97.9¢

▲ 3.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Robert F. Onder, Jr. by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 94.4¢Oct 12

Robert F. Onder, Jr.Republican · incumbent

97.9¢

Bethany E MannDemocratic

4.6¢

5,066 traded · 4,331 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Onder v Mann

Metric by metric

Onder

Mann

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.6¢

$950.3K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$43.3K

$471.5K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$2.8K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Missouri 3rd District

Prior result

R+26.0

2024 general election, won by Robert F. Onder, Jr..

Fundraising

21.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.