Johnny Olszewski, Jr. · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Olszewski is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Olszewski at 97.9¢ against Wallace's 4.6¢, up 2.8¢ since August 3. Olszewski leads 51.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Olszewski · Democratic contract

97.9¢

▲ 2.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Johnny Olszewski, Jr. by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 95.1¢Oct 12

Johnny Olszewski, Jr.Democratic · incumbent

97.9¢

Dave WallaceRepublican

4.6¢

4,068 traded · 2,923 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Olszewski v Wallace

Metric by metric

Olszewski

Wallace

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

4.6¢

$1.04M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$20.2K

$614.3K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$3.1K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Maryland 2nd District

Prior result

D+18.6

2024 general election, won by Johnny Olszewski, Jr..

Fundraising

51.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.