Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Ocasio-Cortez is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Ocasio-Cortez at 98¢ against Hysenaj's 3¢, down 1¢ since August 3. Ocasio-Cortez leads 95 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Ocasio-Cortez · Democratic contract

98.0¢

▼ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 96.2¢Oct 12

Alexandria Ocasio-CortezDemocratic · incumbent

98.0¢

Diamant HysenajRepublican

3.0¢

1,794 traded · 1,634 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ocasio-Cortez v Hysenaj

Metric by metric

Ocasio-Cortez

Hysenaj

98.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.0¢

$32.61M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$342.9K

$15.96M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$31.0K

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 14th District

Prior result

D+38.2

2024 general election, won by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.

Fundraising

95 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.