Joe Neguse · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Neguse is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Neguse at 98.7¢ against Dennison's 3.8¢, up 2.7¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Neguse · Democratic contract

98.7¢

▲ 2.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Joe Neguse by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.7¢ · low 96¢Oct 12

Joe NeguseDemocratic · incumbent

98.7¢

Kelley Anne DennisonRepublican

3.8¢

7,513 traded · 5,570 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Neguse v Dennison

Metric by metric

Neguse

Dennison

98.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.8¢

$2.74M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Kelley Anne Dennison: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$3.09M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2019

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Colorado 2nd District

Prior result

D+39.4

2024 general election, won by Joe Neguse.