Donald Norcross · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Norcross is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Norcross at 97.9¢ against Galdo's 3.7¢, up 3.3¢ since August 3. Norcross leads 149 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Norcross · Democratic contract

97.9¢

▲ 3.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Donald Norcross by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 94.6¢Oct 12

Donald NorcrossDemocratic · incumbent

97.9¢

Damon GaldoRepublican

3.7¢

2,855 traded · 2,206 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Norcross v Galdo

Metric by metric

Norcross

Galdo

97.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.7¢

$1.66M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$11.1K

$2.37M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$5.1K

U.S. Representativesince 2014

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 1st District

Prior result

D+17.8

2024 general election, won by Donald Norcross.

Fundraising

149 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.