Elections Intelligence

Christian D. Menefee

TX-18U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Menefee is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Menefee at 99.4¢ against Whitfield's 1.7¢, up 0.9¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Menefee · Democratic contract
99.4¢
▲ 0.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Christian D. Menefee by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.9¢Oct 12
Christian D. MenefeeDemocratic · incumbent
99.4¢
Ronald WhitfieldRepublican
1.7¢

1,181 traded · 614 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Menefee v Whitfield

Metric by metric
Menefee
Whitfield
99.4¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
1.7¢
$3.64M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
No total for Ronald Whitfield: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$156.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
—
U.S. Representativesince 2026
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 18th District
Prior result
D+38.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Sylvester Turner.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.