Addison P. McDowell · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

McDowell is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has McDowell at 91.9¢ against Jefferson's 9.4¢, up 4.9¢ since August 3. McDowell leads 6.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

McDowell · Republican contract

91.9¢

▲ 4.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Addison P. McDowell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 94¢ · low 87¢Oct 12

Addison P. McDowellRepublican · incumbent

91.9¢

Cyril JeffersonDemocratic

9.4¢

8,427 traded · 1,625 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McDowell v Jefferson

Metric by metric

McDowell

Jefferson

91.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

9.4¢

$1.23M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$199.9K

$381.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$13.9K

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

North Carolina 6th District

Prior result

McDowell +38.3

McDowell won 69.2% to 30.8% over Kevin E. Hayes (2024).

Fundraising

6.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.