Elections Intelligence

Kelly Morrison

MN-3U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Morrison is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Morrison at 97.7¢ against Bass's 5.8¢, down 1.3¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Morrison · Democratic contract
97.7¢
▼ 1.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kelly Morrison by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.7¢Oct 12
Kelly MorrisonDemocratic · incumbent
97.7¢
Tyler BassRepublican
5.8¢

1,695 traded · 788 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Morrison v Bass

Metric by metric
Morrison
Bass
97.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
5.8¢
$1.36M
RaisedFEC, through July 22
No total for Tyler Bass: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
$413.9K
Cash on handFEC, through July 22
—
U.S. Representativesince 2025
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Minnesota 3rd District
Prior result
D+17.0

2024 general election, won by Kelly Morrison.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.