Elections Intelligence

LaMonica McIver

NJ-10U.S. House H architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

McIver is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has McIver at 99.7¢ against Bucco's 2¢, up 1.7¢ since August 3. McIver leads 941.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
McIver · Democratic contract
99.7¢
▲ 1.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on LaMonica McIver by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 96.7¢Oct 12
LaMonica McIverDemocratic · incumbent
99.7¢
Carmen BuccoRepublican
2.0¢

1,561 traded · 1,517 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McIver v Bucco

Metric by metric
McIver
Bucco
99.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.0¢
$2.14M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.3K
$814.1K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.0K
U.S. Representativesince 2024
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

New Jersey 10th District
Prior result
D+48.8

2024 general election, won by LaMonica McIver.

Fundraising
941.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.