Kevin Mullin · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Mullin is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Mullin at 98¢ against Hoelter's 3¢, up 3¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Mullin · Democratic contract

98.0¢

▲ 3.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kevin Mullin by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 95¢Oct 12

Kevin MullinDemocratic · incumbent

98.0¢

Charles HoelterRepublican

3.0¢

15,283 traded · 10,809 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Mullin v Hoelter

Metric by metric

Mullin

Hoelter

98.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.0¢

$819.7K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

No total for Charles Hoelter: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

$219.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

—

U.S. Representativesince 2023

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

California 15th District

Prior result

D+46.2

2024 general election, won by Kevin Mullin.