Mary E. Miller · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Miller is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Miller at 96.8¢ against Todd's 5.1¢, up 2.4¢ since August 3. Miller leads 11.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Miller · Republican contract

96.8¢

▲ 2.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mary E. Miller by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.9¢ · low 94.4¢Oct 12

Mary E. MillerRepublican · incumbent

96.8¢

Jennifer ToddDemocratic

5.1¢

3,139 traded · 1,960 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Miller v Todd

Metric by metric

Miller

Todd

96.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

5.1¢

$1.33M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$113.3K

$810.4K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$33.8K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 15th District

Prior result

R+99.0

2024 general election, won by Mary E. Miller.

Fundraising

11.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.