Joseph D. Morelle · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Morelle is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Morelle at 98.2¢ against McIntyre's 3.4¢, up 2.2¢ since August 3. Morelle leads 55.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Morelle · Democratic contract

98.2¢

▲ 2.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Joseph D. Morelle by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 96¢Oct 12

Joseph D. MorelleDemocratic · incumbent

98.2¢

Virginia McIntyreRepublican

3.4¢

1,526 traded · 482 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Morelle v McIntyre

Metric by metric

Morelle

McIntyre

98.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.4¢

$1.79M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$32.4K

$408.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$12.3K

U.S. Representativesince 2018

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 25th District

Prior result

D+21.6

2024 general election, won by Joseph D. Morelle.

Fundraising

55.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.